Monday, November 21, 2011

Top 10 Blue Jays Prospects, scouting reports

1. C Travis d'Arnaud -- Eastern League MVP  proved to be a complete catcher and offensive force. Showed raw power and the right approach in a .311/.371/.542 season. Good situational hitter and knows how to move runners and reach base. Oppo-Tacos are always a plus. Video of lower-case d talking about his season here.

2. RHP Drew Hutchison -- Young, efficient. Easy delivery, pinpoint control and good movement. Hutch, a 15th-rounder, will start next season in Double-A and be throwing complete games in the majors by 2013. Good listener, worker and teammate. Sound bites here.

3. RHP Noah Syndergaard --  Love the 6-foot-5 frame and arm action. Call me crazy, but he reminds me of Daniel Bard. Gets on top of pitches with excellent extension, leading to riding action on 4-seamers. Throws a 2-seamer with late sink. Gym rat. Good makeup.

4. SS Adeiny Hechavarria -- Elite glove, range and arm. We watched Adeiny win games with his defense. Had a promising 2011 and finished with a .389 stop in Las Vegas.  Personally, I'd package him in a trade while stock is soaring. He'll never hit big-league pitching like Yunel Escobar.

5. C Carlos Perez -- Baseball player. The Blue Jays rave about his defense, quick bat and approach to the game. Gap hitter with good instincts everywhere on the diamond.

6. OF Jake Marisnick -- When talking about a prospect's "tools," there is a tendency to overrate players or fail to mention a glaring weakness -- Moises Sierra and poor base running, for example -- but Marisnick is a legit athlete with all the tools. Average (.320) & power (14 homers) spiked in '11. 

7. RHP Aaron Sanchez -- Lean and mean, Sanchez is going to tantalize the Blue Jays until he develops better command. Plus fastball. High ceiling. Relies on his curveball a little too much.

8. RHP Deck McGuire -- Though still a work progress, Deck made significant strides and looked unhittable at times with the slider and sinker. When I saw him dominate at Portland, I was convinced.

9. OF Anthony Gose -- No shortage of star power. Showed 4 of 5 tools, swagger along with 70 stolen bases in 2011 but got himself out way too much. Hard to believe he didn't turn 21 until August.


Goseman: .253, 16 HR, 70 SB, 154K  (Kevin Littlefield photo)


10. LHP Justin Nicolino -- Slender southpaw has a slight edge over Daniel Norris as the best lefty in the system. Have heard great things about his off-speed stuff and changeup. More muscle and physical maturity are going to make him a scary prospect in the near future.

132 comments:

NorthYorkJays said...

I like hearing your positive thoughts on Molina. Baseball America & Baseball Prospectus have their strengths, but their weakness will always be putting too much stock into a kid's perceived upside as opposed to actually watching what happens between the lines. The Blue Jays have graduated arms like Romero, Marcum, Cecil, Litsch, Janssen, Rzepczynski, and Alvarez the last 5 years to very little hype but they were all very effective in the AL East, upside be damned.

Anonymous said...

I enjoy reading about those I should look out for in the coming season...any idea of who will be wtih FC in 2012 on this list?

Kevin Gray said...

Adeiny, d'Arnaud and Gose will probably start the year at AAA. I can see Molina, Hutch and Deck starting at New Hampshire with others in line for a midseason callup.

Grady said...

Good stuff Kevin.

Iain said...

I'm hoping you're right about Molina, another top of the rotation guy is what the big club needs.
I'm assuming that the missing tool for Gose is ritalin?

Gerry said...

Thanks Kevin.

Anonymous said...

Henderson Alvarez vs Nestor Molina ... Who would you choose ?

Anonymous said...

I really think you are inline with my thinking on these guys. A lot of people have Gose in the top 2 or3 and I just don't see it, right now he is carlos gomez. The most important tool for a position player is the hit tool, and thats his biggest weakness right now. Have you seen Justin Nicolino pitch at all?

Peter DeMarco said...

The only player I was a bit surprise about from your analysis (other than Molina) was Deck McGuire. Everything I've read to this point indicated that he was the most polished of all prospects and even has an outside chance of making the big club this season. It seems you disagree with that assessment.

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Anonymous said...

So, reading between the lines, Nestor Molina vs Henderson Alvarez, Walker's appraisal is saying that 'his stuff' is right there with Alvarez except that he has two pitches that Alvarez doesn't, a change up and a plus-plus split.
Also, in reference to the Anon's comparison about Thomas Paine, Fitzgerald et al, the only two guys I know in that grouping are Paine and Fitzgerald . So are you saying KG is a good writer or a drunk ?

Anonymous said...

Not having Justin Nicolino here is criminal.

Anonymous said...

WTF
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Chris said...

I am surprised to see Gose at 9. Everywhere else I have seen him he is ranked higher and I myself also felt he was higher. Though I have not seen all the others so I can't fully compare. If he can just improve on his average and discipline at the plate then he will be a very good 5 tool player.

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